Friday, June 02, 2006

All-Star Vote by VORP

It's June, and that means it's the stretch drive for the All-Star campaign. Like the vote for high-school class president it's "not supposed to be a popularity contest" (which is kind of contradictory to having a, er, popular vote), but it is. Still, we can pretend that participation in baseball's midsummer classic is decided by meritocracy, so to that end, let's review the candidates based on VORP -- Value Over Replacement Player -- to see who is the most deserving. Following are the top five vote-getters at each position (as of May 30) and their VORP (as of Jun 1):
First Base Votes VORP
1. Albert Pujols, Cardinals 726,854 40.0
2. Carlos Delgado, Mets 220,484 9.2
3. Lance Berkman, Astros 174,278 17.5
4. Derrek Lee, Cubs 131,359 7.9
5. Nomar Garciaparra, Dodgers 129,034 20.3
The Great Pujols is that rare combination of a candidate who is not only the most popular but also the most qualified. And accordingly, the best player in the league has the most votes.
Second Base Votes VORP
1. Craig Biggio, Astros 303,616 12.6
2. Chase Utley, Phillies 286,247 21.5
3. Marcus Giles, Braves 153,988 1.9
4. Todd Walker, Cubs 150,322 9.6
5. Jeff Kent, Dodgers 140,691 9.9
Biggio appears to be the sentimental candidate, though voters still have a chance to push the more worthy Utley ahead. Luna (8.1) and Miles (5.9) together (14.0) make a strong case for a platoon spot on the National League roster.
Third Base Votes VORP
1. Scott Rolen, Cardinals 340,733 14.6
2. David Wright, Mets 292,335 20.9
3. Morgan Ensberg, Astros 198,930 19.1
4. Chipper Jones, Braves 184,331 12.4
5. Aramis Ramirez, Cubs 142,404 1.0
Miguel Cabrera, Marlins 32.7
Sco-Ro's having a tremendous season -- certainly as good as Cardinal fans might've hoped for -- but it's nowhere close to Mig Cabrera's. Only problem for Cabrera is that Rolen's got about four times as many fans watching him in St. Louis (40,743) as Cabrera does (11,570) in -- what team does Cabrera play for again? If you're at a Cards-Cubs game this weekend, you can always remind the nearest Cub fan that the Cardinals have not one but two third basemen who are better than Aramis Ramirez (Spiezio has a 7.8 VORP).
Shortstop Votes VORP
1. David Eckstein, Cardinals 284,547 16.0
2. Edgar Renteria, Braves 236,673 19.2
3. Jose Reyes, Mets 221,335 8.0
4. Jimmy Rollins, Phillies 206,780 3.7
5. Omar Vizquel, Giants 146,904 20.1
Hanley Ramirez, Marlins 20.6
Sorry, Eck -- you're lovable and you're producing, but the Marlins' Hanley Ramirez is the best shortstop that no one is voting for. Jeff Passan's buddy, Omar Vizquel, is a close second.
Catcher Votes VORP
1. Paul Lo Duca, Mets 273,059 8.5
2. Mike Piazza, Padres 264,787 6.6
3. Yadier Molina, Cardinals 256,270 -14.4
4. Brad Ausmus, Astros 186,933 6.9
5. Michael Barrett, Cubs 182,309 9.0
Brian McCann, Braves 15.8
Unfortunately for McCann, his team's fans are more concerned about the upcoming college football season than they are about voting for him for the All-Star Game. On the other hand, it's a good thing for YaMo that Cardinal fans are loyal and plenteous. After all, he's not even the team's best catcher (Bennett: -5.7 VORP)! Or maybe all of his brothers are voting for him...
Outfield Votes VORP
1. Andruw Jones, Braves 420,462 21.0
2. Carlos Beltran, Mets 341,769 21.5
3. Jim Edmonds, Cardinals 334,027 4.2
4. Ken Griffey, Jr., Reds 326,592 4.3
5. Alfonso Soriano, Nationals 273,373 20.7
6. Bobby Abreu, Phillies 244,212 17.3
7. Carlos Lee, Brewers 224,829 15.7
8. Barry Bonds, Giants 210,146 13.9
9. Adam Dunn, Reds 180,379 14.8
10. Aaron Rowand, Phillies 162,741 9.9
11. Xavier Nady, Mets 142,278 5.0
12. Juan Encarnacion, Cardinals 137,439 -4.6
13. Jeff Francoeur, Braves 136,478 -7.0
14. So Taguchi, Cardinals 135,178 0.5
15. Juan Pierre, Cubs 134,527 -5.3
Jason Bay, Pirates 24.7
Eric Byrnes, Diamondbacks 22.0
Like multiple-term incumbent senators, old centerfielders are hard to get rid of. To wit, Jim Edmonds and Ken Griffey Jr., both suffering from injury and subpar performance, are having Ted Kennedy-like (read: inexplicably popular) showings at the polls. The best two outfielders in the league so far -- Jason Bay and Eric Byrnes (no, that's not a typo) -- aren't even in the top 15. By and large, the voters to this point don't even have the best player in the top five at each position. But a lot of ballot-stuffing can happen in a month, so perhaps the best players really will be voted in. Interestingly, the majority of the league's best players are from East Division teams (five) with the Central (two) and West (one) hardly contributing, unless you consider that Albert's VORP comprises about 20% of the entire NL lineup's. Oh, and if you're needing another barb to throw that Cub fan's way, try this: Hector Luna is better than your whole team*! *The Cubs' cumulative VORP-to-date is 6.0.

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